official data (NOAA / NHC Public Advisory 14 + Discussion 14, 0300 UTC 24 Sep 2026) · delta vs boarded Intermediate Adv 12A Cat-4 card

Hurricane Polo is Category 5 again — 160 mph, still offshore SW Mexico

Origin Lane: climateEastern Pacific EP172026 · center ~16.0°N 102.4°W (~130 mi / 205 km SSW of Zihuatanejo, Mexico) · SW Mexico coast (Guerrero / Michoacán / Colima / Jalisco)

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center Advisory 14 at 0300 UTC on September 24 restamped Hurricane Polo as an extremely dangerous Category 5 with 160 mph sustained winds and 923 mb pressure — intensity set at 140 kt after an eyewall replacement cycle — after Wednesday’s Intermediate Advisory 12A had carried the storm as Category 4 at 145 mph, while the core remains forecast offshore of southwestern Mexico with life-threatening flood and mudslide risk on the coast.

NHC Public Advisory 14 — Cat 5 Hurricane Polo center 16.0°N 102.4°W (~130 mi / 205 km SSW of Zihuatanejo), 0300 UTC Thu Sep 24 2026. Source map
NHC 5-day cone for Hurricane Polo off southwestern Mexico
NHC 5-day cone graphic for Hurricane Polo (EP172026). Official NOAA/NHC product. Climate-rail support figure — splash stays on Medicare Wire lead. NHC

Key facts

Live stamp (Adv 14, 0300 UTC Thu Sep 24)
Cat 5 · 160 mph (260 km/h) · 923 mb · 16.0N 102.4W · ~130 mi SSW Zihuatanejo · NW 6 mph
Discussion 14 intensity
140 kt initial — “category 5 hurricane once again” after eyewall replacement cycle
Delta vs boarded Adv 12A
Wed Cat 4 · 145 mph · 931 mb · 15.6N 102.1W → overnight Cat 5 return
Tue peak history (prior card)
Adv 9 · Cat 5 · 180 mph · 892 mb — remains peak stamp; not restated as live
Watches/warnings
TS Warning extended west of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo; TS Watch west of Manzanillo to Playa Perula
Rainfall hazard
4–6 in coastal Guerrero (isolated 8); 2–4 in Michoacán/Colima/Jalisco — life-threatening flooding/mudslides
Track
Core expected offshore of SW Mexico through Thursday morning then farther to sea (NHC)
NOT a new 180 mph peak
Live stamp is 160 mph Cat 5 return — Tuesday 180 mph stays history on prior card
Live later
Next intermediate / complete advisory / track change / flood reports → HUD — no invented landfall or death toll

Polo is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

NHC Public Advisory Number 14 · 0300 UTC Thu Sep 24 2026

Note

National Hurricane Center Advisory 14, issued for 0300 UTC on September 24, put Category 5 back on Hurricane Polo. Sustained winds 160 mph, pressure 923 millibars, center near 16.0 north, 102.4 west — about 130 miles south-southwest of Zihuatanejo — moving northwest at 6 mph. The bulletin calls it an extremely dangerous Category 5 still expected to remain a powerful major hurricane for the next few days, with the core forecast to stay offshore of southwestern Mexico through Thursday morning.

Discussion 14 says the satellite presentation significantly strengthened after an eyewall replacement cycle and sets intensity at 140 knots — a category 5 hurricane once again. That is the overnight delta from Wednesday’s Intermediate Advisory 12A, which had Polo as Category 4 at 145 mph. Mexico extended the tropical storm warning west to Manzanillo. Rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches, isolated 8, still threaten life-threatening flooding and mudslides in coastal Guerrero. Tuesday’s 180 mph peak stays history on the prior card. Next advisories and any track change stay on the HUD.

Why it matters

The Wednesday Cat-4 step-down did not hold. After an eyewall cycle, NHC put Category 5 back on the overnight stamp — still offshore on the official track, with the rain bands still the land threat. Intensity history, not a carnival landfall call.

Sources

Primary + secondary attribution as listed. Live values go to the HUD / source product.

Daily board